The hottest 08 macroeconomic data will be released

08 macroeconomic data to be released next week December CPI or below 1.5%

08 macroeconomic data to be released next week December CPI or below 1.5%

China Construction Machinery Information

Guide: the National Bureau of statistics will release the main economic data for December 2008 and the whole year next week. Relevant experts predict that in December last year, the year-on-year increase of CPI will fall back to less than 1.5%, the industrial growth is expected to rebound slightly to 6%, and the annual GDP in 2008 will increase by about 9% year-on-year. In December, 2008, the deflationary pressure entered

the National Bureau of statistics will release the main economic data of December 2008 and the whole year next week. Relevant experts predict that in December last year, the year-on-year increase of CPI will fall back to less than 1.5%, the industrial growth is expected to rebound slightly to 6%, and the cost will be further reduced. In 2008, the annual GDP will increase by about 9% year-on-year

in December of 2008, deflation pressure further increased. Dongxian'an, senior Macro Analyst of Southwest Securities, predicted that CPI rose by 1.2% year-on-year in that month; PPI increased by about -1.2% year-on-year. According to the research report released by CICC, food prices rebounded seasonally month on month in December, but non food prices continued to fall, which would lower CPI to 1.2% ~ 1.6%; Affected by the decline of raw material prices and overcapacity, PPI will fall back to -2% ～ -1%, which is the first negative year-on-year growth in recent 6 years. China Construction Bank issued a report that the raw material industry department will conscientiously implement the spirit of the 109th National Congress of the Communist Party of China. It is estimated that the year-on-year increase in CPI in December will be about 1.5%

relevant experts believe that CPI may continue to decline in the next two months due to the falling price of non food products with a wide range of speed regulation and the base effect. In the future, the central bank is likely to continue to reduce interest rates or deposit reserve ratio in a timely manner to ease the pressure of deflation and ensure sufficient liquidity

the green manufacturing partnership initiative was released. In December 2008, leading macroeconomic indicators such as purchasing managers' index, power generation and steel price showed signs of recovery. According to this, experts believe that the short-term stimulus effect of macro-control measures may have appeared. Fengyuming, chief Macro Analyst of Orient Securities, believes that it is expected that the year-on-year growth rate of GDP in the fourth quarter of 2008 will be about 7%, and the annual growth rate of GDP in 2008 will be about 9%; GDP growth in the first and second quarters of this year may fall slightly, but the range is limited

a market person predicted that, as the external economic environment has not continued to deteriorate, the inventory accumulated in the early stage is being rapidly digested, and the measures of "maintaining growth" have achieved initial results, the year-on-year growth rate of industry in December 2008 is expected to rebound to about 6%, an increase compared with 5.4% in the previous month